Conf = ODAC
Nickname = VA Hornets Coach = Steve KoudGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.2732697 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Gettysburg Centennial (10- 8, 94.2) 10-15 224 H Cabrini AEC (15- 5, 92.4) 18- 5 302 A Salisbury CLC (21- 1, 99.6) 8-13 310 H Denison NCAC (14- 6, 93.1) 13- 4 315 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (14- 7, 94.1) 15- 9 316 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 15-16 323 A Christopher Newport CLC (16- 6, 96.9) 9-11 324 A Virginia Wesleyan ODAC ( 6-11, 78.5) 16- 4 330 N Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 15-13 330 H Ferrum ODAC ( 0- 9, 82.5) 1- 0 403 H Guilford ODAC ( 8-10, 82.8) 21- 6 406 H Washington & Lee ODAC (16- 6, 95.7) 9-10 410 A Randolph ODAC ( 5-11, 69.2) 23- 0 413 H Randolph-Macon ODAC (16- 5, 92.9) 15- 6 417 A Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 94.0) 18-15 420 A Hampden-Sydney ODAC (12- 6, 91.5) 14- 6 424 H Shenandoah ODAC (12- 7, 87.1) 15-11 427 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (14- 7, 90.3) 18- 6 502 H Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 94.0) 12- 6 504 H Randolph-Macon ODAC (16- 5, 92.9) 13- 8 511 H Pfeiffer USA South (13- 6, 86.2) 24- 8 512 H Washington & Lee ODAC (16- 6, 95.7) 13-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Gettysburg 10-15 -5 1 --- -6.43 224 H Cabrini 18- 5 13 4 + 2.33 302 A Salisbury 8-13 -5 -3 -1.03 310 H Denison 13- 4 9 3 + 3.07 315 A Stevenson 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.43 316 N Hamilton 15-16 -1 1 - -2.54 323 A Christopher Newport 9-11 -2 -1 -0.76 324 A Virginia Wesleyan 16- 4 12 17 0.00 330 N Amherst 15-13 2 0 + 2.45 403 H Guilford 21- 6 15 14 0.00 406 H Washington & Lee 9-10 -1 1 - -2.29 410 A Randolph 23- 0 23 26 0.00 413 H Randolph-Macon 15- 6 9 4 + 2.82 417 A Roanoke 18-15 3 1 1.35 420 A Hampden-Sydney 14- 6 8 4 + 2.86 424 H Shenandoah 15-11 4 9 - -3.00 427 H St Marys (MD) 18- 6 12 6 0.29 502 H Roanoke 12- 6 6 3 + 2.94 504 H Randolph-Macon 13- 8 5 4 0.82 511 H Pfeiffer 24- 8 16 10 0.00 512 H Washington & Lee 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Gettysburg 10-15 -5 1 --- -6.43 512 H Washington & Lee 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.29 316 N Hamilton 15-16 -1 1 - -2.54 406 H Washington & Lee 9-10 -1 1 - -2.29 424 H Shenandoah 15-11 4 9 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Stevenson 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.43 224 H Cabrini 18- 5 13 4 + 2.33 310 H Denison 13- 4 9 3 + 3.07 330 N Amherst 15-13 2 0 + 2.45 413 H Randolph-Macon 15- 6 9 4 + 2.82 420 A Hampden-Sydney 14- 6 8 4 + 2.86 502 H Roanoke 12- 6 6 3 + 2.94
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.33 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 79.15 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 34 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6995 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 17 RPI Rating............... .6499 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 20 Selection sum ........... 46 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 5. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 23 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 18 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0